When the media raises the subject of beating the market through astute stock picking, the name âWarren Buffettâ is usually cited. But what does this legendary investor actually say about the smart way to invest?
Buffett is considered to have such a track record of picking stock winners and avoiding losers that his annual letter to shareholders in his Berkshire Hathaway conglomerate is treated as a major event by the financial media.1
What does he think about the Federal Reserve taper? What are the implications for emerging markets of the Russian military advance into the Ukraine? What does a China economic slowdown mean for developed markets?
Buffett has a neat way of parrying these questions from journalists and analysts. Instead of offering instant opinions about the crisis of the day, he recounts a folksy story about a farm he has owned for nearly 30 years.
Has he laid awake at night worrying about fluctuations in the farmâs market price? No, says Buffett, he has focused on its long-term value. And he counsels investors to take the same sanguine, relaxed approach to liquid investments such as shares as they do to the value of their family home.
âThose people who can sit quietly for decades when they own a farm or apartment house too often become frenetic when they are exposed to a stream of stock quotations,â Buffett said. âFor these investors, liquidity is transformed from the unqualified benefit it should be to a curse.â
While many individuals seek to ape Buffett in analysing individual companies in minute detail in the hope of finding a bargain, he advocates that the right approach for most people is to let the market do all the work and worrying for them.
âThe goal of the non-professional should not be to pick winners,â Buffett wrote in his annual letter. âThe âknow-nothingâ investor who both diversifies and keeps his costs minimal is virtually certain to get satisfactory results.â
As to all the predictions out there about interest rates, emerging markets or geopolitics, there will always be a range of opinions, he says. But we are under no obligation to listen to the media commentators, however distracting.
âOwners of stocks ⌠too often let the capricious and irrational behaviour of their fellow owners cause them to behave irrationally,â Buffett says. âBecause there is so much chatter about markets, the economy, interest rates, price behaviour of stocks, etc., some investors believe it is important to listen to pundits â and, worse yet, important to consider acting upon their comments.â
The Buffett prescription isnât rocket science (as one might expect from an octogenarian, unassuming and plain-speaking man from Nebraska). But he rightly points out that an advanced intellect and success in long-term investment donât necessarily go together.
âYou donât need to be a rocket scientist,â he says. âInvesting is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ.â
1. âBuffet Warns of Liquidity Curseâ, Bloomberg, Feb 25, 2014
Written by Jim Parker, Vice President, Dimensional Fund Advisors Ltd (Reproduced here with permission)